Harris vs. Trump
Harris vs. Trump: Several polls conducted ahead of Tuesday night’s debate show a close race between the two presidential candidates.
On November 5, US citizens will cast their ballots for the next presidential election. The election was meant to be a 2020 re-election, but President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race and the endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris in July reversed the situation.
The key question is whether Donald Trump will serve a second term or whether Harris will become America’s first female president.
All eyes will be on Harris and Trump as they face off in their first presidential debate today.
Prior to Biden’s withdrawal from the election, polls consistently favored Trump. Numerous surveys at the time suggested that Harris would not fare much better. However, the race became more competitive as he hit the campaign trail, and he eventually held a slight edge over his opponent in national polls.
Several polls conducted before Tuesday night’s showdown showed a close race between the two presidential candidates.
Check out what the latest survey says
New York Times/Siena College Poll
The latest New York Times/Siena College poll, issued Sunday, shows Trump leading Harris 48%-47%. The survey polled 1,695 registered voters between September 3 and September 6. However, it is important to note that the poll’s margin of sampling error is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, which is greater than the difference between the two candidates.
According to the survey, respondents still believe they need to learn more about Harris. While only 9% of likely voters surveyed felt this way about Trump, 28% indicated they wanted to know more about the Democratic nominee.
Washington Post poll
According to a Washington Post poll, Harris leads in three of the seven battleground states that will likely decide the outcome of the election. He leads in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump has slight advantages in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
The Washington Post’s election data includes state and national surveys that include the results of each state’s last two presidential elections to determine which candidate voters support.
Emerson College Vote
Harris now leads Donald Trump by a slim margin of 49% to 47%, according to an Emerson College poll. According to the poll, 1% of voters intend to vote for another candidate, while 3% of voters are undecided.
Morning Consult Survey
In a recent poll by business intelligence firm Morning Consult, Harris led Trump 49% to 46%, according to the results of their Daily Observation poll of likely voters.
Five thirty eight votes
In a national survey conducted Monday, FiveThirtyEight—a website that specializes in political, economic and polling analysis—reveals that Harris leads Trump by a slim margin. Trump trailed Harris 47.1% to 44.3%.
YouGov poll
A YouGov poll released Sunday shows Harris leading Trump in Wisconsin (51%–49%) and Michigan (50%–49%), while the two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania.
Mexico’s ruling party is poised to secure the Senate vote it needs to overhaul the controversial court.
As Mexican senators consider a tough plan to overhaul the country’s justice system, it looks like Mexico’s ruling party could get the necessary votes in the Senate with the proposal.
MEXICO CITY – As Mexican senators consider a controversial plan to overhaul the country’s judiciary, it appeared Tuesday that the ruling party could secure the votes it needs in the Senate to pass the measure.
The overhaul, revised by outgoing President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has sparked weeks of protests by court employees and law students, who say the plan, which would elect all judges, would jeopardize judicial independence and deal a serious blow to the system of checks and balances.
Harris vs. Trump: Who’s Winning in the Swing States?
During his ascension to the presidency in 2016, Trump torched Democratic Party strongholds in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Biden passed them again in 2020; If Harris can pull off the same feat this time around, the win will be his.
Biden trailed Trump by an average of about five percentage points in those seven battleground states on the day he withdrew from the race, demonstrating how the race has changed since Harris entered as the Democratic challenger.
Harris vs. Trump: Can Voters Trust the Polls?
According to polls, Trump and Harris are currently close nationally and in battleground states, separated by a narrow margin of percentage points. It is quite difficult to select a winner of a close competition.
Trump’s popularity was underestimated by polls in the 2016 and 2020 elections. One way that polling companies will try to solve this problem is to make sure that the demographics of people polled are accurately reflected in their results.
